It appears that the labor market is continuing its upward turn. In early September, the number of Americans filling for unemployment benefits dropped. The state unemployment applications dropped by approximately 6,000 to come up with an adjusted total of 275,000 for the week ending September 5th. This is the reported 27th straight week that the rates have been steadily the 300,000 mark. This upward trend is said to reflect a strengthening labor market.
“Consistently low readings for initial and continuing jobless claims suggest that the separations side of the labor market remains healthy, and we see little reason to expect a meaningful shift in labor market dynamics in the near term,” said Jesse Hurwitz, an economist at Barclays in New York. Aside from the strengthening labor market, the Labor Department is also seeing the import sector is also doing well. Import prices have fallen by 1.8 percent during the month of August. The price drops seen in August have been the largest that the market has seen in seven months.
With a large decrease in import prices, one can speculate that the U.S. dollar is strong and a global demand continuing to put the downward pressure on imported inflation. These declines are stretched across 12 of the past 14 months. With the continuous 12 months through August, import prices have decreased by 11.4 percent, one of the largest drops that have been seen since late 2009.
Alongside the import prices, unemployment rates are at an all time, of the past seven years, low of 5.1 percent, which is in range that majority of the Federal Reserve officials would correlate with low rate of inflation. The consistent decrease in the inflation rate is a reflective image of the U.S. dollar. The dollar’s impacts has increased almost 17% compared against competitive currencies since June of 2014. The market and inflation rates seem to be looking up and the U.S. economy can almost be referred to as “steady.”